Articles & Multimedia
Showing 21-40 of 56 Publications
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The US Is Unprepared to Mobilize for Great Power Conflict
The “fully mobilized Joint Force,” the National Defense Strategy tells us, will be capable of “defeating aggression by a major power; deterring opportunistic aggression elsewh...
By Elsa B. Kania & Emma Moore
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The 5G Fight Is Bigger Than Huawei
The latest salvos in the Trump administration’s campaign against Huawei may prove, at best, to be a Pyrrhic victory—or, at worst, directly undermine U.S. interests and objecti...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Great Power Rivalry Is Also a War For Talent
China’s military is working harder to find and keep good people. The U.S. must step up its own efforts....
By Elsa B. Kania & Emma Moore
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Not a “New Era”—Historical Memory and Continuities in U.S.-China Rivalry
At first glance, the return to a world of great power rivalry may seem sudden.1 The National Defense Strategy, published in January 2018, highlighted the “reemergence of long-...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Military and Public Service Policy Forum
The National Commission on Military, National, and Public Service (NCMNPS) held a hearing on potential policies to encourage or require military, national, and public service ...
By Loren DeJonge Schulman, Elsa B. Kania & Dr. Jason Dempsey
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Learning Without Fighting: New Developments in PLA Artificial Intelligence War-Gaming
A lack of recent experience in combat is often characterized as a major liability and potential disadvantage for the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in any future confl...
By Elsa B. Kania
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White House AI Executive Order and DoD AI Strategy
This week, the U.S. government released two major new strategic documents on artificial intelligence. The White House published an executive order by President Trump launching...
By Robert O. Work, Paul Scharre, Gregory C. Allen, Kara Frederick, Michael Horowitz & Elsa B. Kania
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Why China’s Military Wants to Beat the US to a Next-Gen Cell Network
The race for 5G — the next-generation cell-network technology that promises high speed, low latency, and high throughput — has emerged as a new frontier of rivalry in U.S.-Chi...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Strategic competition beyond confrontation with China
The Trump administration is undertaking a historic reorientation of U.S. policy towards China. The 2018 National Defense Strategy highlighted the “reemergence of long-term, st...
By Elsa B. Kania
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China’s Quantum Future
China should be a “global leader in innovation” by 2035, President Xi Jinping declared during the Chinese Communist Party’s 19th National Congress last October. His remarks re...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Spooky Action: Sorting Hype from Reality in China’s Quantum-Tech Quest
Could the “spooky action” of quantum technologies enable China to develop disruptive military capabilities – and perhaps achieve a strategic advantage? In its quest to offset ...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Tsinghua's Approach to Military-Civil Fusion in Artificial Intelligence
What does military-civil fusion (军民融合) in AI look like in action? I’ve translated an article by a vice president of Tsinghua University, often characterized as "China's MIT," ...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Should the U.S. Start a Trade War with China over Tech?
Just as China pursues asymmetric strategies in the military domain, using cheaper missiles and mines to offset expensive American carriers and bases, so too is it pursuing asy...
By Rush Doshi & Elsa B. Kania
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New Frontiers of Chinese Defense Innovation: Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Technologies
Will the Chinese military succeed in advancing new frontiers of defense innovation? China has already emerged as a powerhouse in artificial intelligence and quantum technologi...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Beyond Cold War: Paradigms for U.S.-China Strategic Competition
Beijing has long called for the United States to abandon what it calls its “Cold War mentality” (冷战思维). Today, that critique, long a staple of official Chinese propaganda, is ...
By Elsa B. Kania
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China’s AI talent ‘arms race’
Perhaps, the real ‘arms race’ in artificial intelligence (AI) is not military competition but the battle for talent. Since the vast majority of the world’s top AI experts rema...
By Elsa B. Kania
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The Pursuit of AI Is More Than an Arms Race
Are the U.S., China, and Russia recklessly undertaking an “AI arms race”? Clearly, there is military competition among these great powers to advance a range of applications of...
By Elsa B. Kania
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China’s Strategic Ambiguity and Shifting Approach to Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems
On April 13, China’s delegation to United Nations Group of Governmental Experts on lethal autonomous weapons systemsannounced the “desire to negotiate and conclude” a new prot...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Careful what you wish for—change and continuity in China’s cyber threat activities (part 2)
At a time when ‘cyber anarchy’ seems to prevail in the international system, the emergence in 2015 of US–China consensus against ‘cyber-enabled theft of intellectual property’...
By Elsa B. Kania
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Careful What You Wish for—Change and Continuity in China’s Cyber Threats (Part 1)
Although there’s been a discernible reduction in the magnitude of Chinese cyber intrusions in the past few years, the threat has been transformed, not diminished. While US dip...
By Elsa B. Kania