Articles & Multimedia
Showing 1-15 of 15 Publications
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Perseverance and Adaptation: Ukraine’s Counteroffensive at Three Months
Commentary
Western support thus far has been sufficient to avert a Ukrainian defeat, and arguably has imposed a strategic defeat on Russia, but not enough to ensure a Ukrainian victory....
By Michael Kofman & Rob Lee
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The Battle of Hostomel Airport: A Key Moment in Russia’s Defeat in Kyiv
Commentary
The actions of individual commanders, soldiers, and citizens can and did have a profound impact in a pivotal battle that would help decide the course of the war....
By Michael Kofman, Liam Collins & John Spencer
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Franz-Stefan Gady and Michael Kofman on what Ukraine must do to break through Russian defences
Commentary
Ukraine’s victory will not be secured by any single capability or weapon, but by effective use of force, better training and sustained Western support....
By Franz-Stefan Gady & Michael Kofman
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Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive
Commentary
The offensive has consumed planning, but a sober-minded approach would recognize that supporting Ukraine will be a long-term effort....
By Michael Kofman & Rob Lee
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Russia’s Dangerous Decline
Commentary
Despite Russia’s conventional losses in Ukraine, its nuclear arsenal is a logical offset to its conventional vulnerability and poses a credible threat....
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Michael Kofman
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Escalation Management and Nuclear Employment in Russian Military Strategy
The Russian military doctrine breaks down conflict types into armed conflict, local war, regional war, and large-scale war....
By Michael Kofman & Anya Loukianova Fink
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Not Built for Purpose: The Russian Military's Ill-Fated Force Design
Commentary
The Russian campaign floundered not just because it pursued unrealistic political goals, but also because the plan for the invasion did not account for the choices made on for...
By Michael Kofman & Rob Lee
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Russia Is Down. But It’s Not Out.
Commentary
Despite its failures in Ukraine, Russia retains the capacity and the will to continue to seriously challenge the United States and Europe....
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Michael Kofman
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Putin's Wager In Russia's Standoff With the West
An expanded invasion of Ukraine may not herald a prolonged occupation, but Russia appears prepared for that contingency....
By Michael Kofman
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Russia’s Shock and Awe
Commentary
A war between Russia and Ukraine could prove to be incredibly destructive....
By Michael Kofman & Jeffrey Edmonds
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What Putin Learned From the Soviet Collapse
Commentary
Just as Communist Party leaders in Beijing have studied Soviet history in an effort to avert its repetition, so have leaders in the Kremlin....
By Michael Kofman
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Russia Won’t Let Ukraine Go Without a Fight
Commentary
A continued contest for influence in Ukraine is unavoidable and will get worse before it gets better....
By Michael Kofman & Michael Kimmage
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The Myth of Russian Decline: Why Moscow Will Be a Persistent Power
Commentary
Rather than viewing Russia as a declining power, U.S. leaders should see it as a persistent one—and have a frank conversation about the country’s true capabilities and vulnera...
By Andrea Kendall-Taylor & Michael Kofman
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Zapad-2021: What to Expect From Russia’s Strategic Military Exercise
Major exercises are indeed a time for vigilance, and caution, but they also present opportunities for Western analysts and intelligence services....
By Michael Kofman
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After Withdrawal: How China, Turkey, and Russia will Respond to the Taliban
The rise of the Taliban creates its own set of challenges for leaders in China, Turkey, and Russia, each of which see themselves as important regional powerbrokers....
By Michael Kofman, Aaron Stein & Yun Sun
