Articles & Multimedia
Showing 1-20 of 96 Publications
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Regulating AI Is Easier Than You Think
Countries can regulate AI from the ground up by controlling access to highly specialized chips...
By Paul Scharre
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The 1960s Novella That Got AI (Mostly) Right
A secret military project. A vast artificial mind. Questions of consciousness. These form the premise of Dino Buzzati’s The Singularity, originally published in 1960 at the da...
By Paul Scharre
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What an American Approach to AI Regulation Should Look Like
Lawmakers should recognize that whatever laws they pass must have the foresight and flexibility to endure as AI evolves....
By Paul Scharre & Vivek Chilukuri
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The Perilous Coming Age of AI Warfare
The end state of this competition will likely be war executed at machine speed and beyond human control....
By Paul Scharre
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Artificial Intelligence and Nuclear Stability
A lack of clear guidance risks forgoing valuable opportunities to use AI or, even worse, adopting AI in ways that might undermine nuclear surety and deterrence....
By Paul Scharre & Michael Depp
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The Cloud Can Solve America’s AI Problems
Washington doesn’t have to restrict chip exports to control the technology’s future development....
By Paul Scharre & Tim Fist
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How to Prevent an AI Catastrophe
How dangerous is AI? The honest and scary answer is that no one knows....
By Markus Anderljung & Paul Scharre
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AI’s Gatekeepers Aren’t Prepared for What’s Coming
What is clear is that current state-of-the-art AI models are not safe and no one knows how to reliably make them safe....
By Paul Scharre
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Chinese Data Restrictions Undermine US-China Stability
By refusing dialogue, China increases the risk of miscalculation, crises, and even conflict....
By Paul Scharre
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Arms Control for Artificial Intelligence
The best illustration of the dynamics of the desirability of arms control is the international community’s response to nuclear weapons versus chemical weapons....
By Paul Scharre & Megan Lamberth
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To Stay Ahead of China in AI, the U.S. Needs to Work with China
An AI gold rush is underway in the private sector in the wake of ChatGPT, but the geopolitical stakes are even greater. The United States and China are vying for global leader...
By Paul Scharre
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AI's Inhuman Advantage
AI agents’ victories demonstrate that machines can dramatically outperform humans in command and control, a potential major advantage in war....
By Paul Scharre
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America Can Win the AI Race
If the United States wants to win the AI competition, it must approach Beijing carefully and construct its own initiatives thoughtfully....
By Paul Scharre
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U.S. and China Can Show World Leadership by Safeguarding Military AI
The US and China must move beyond unilateral statements and begin developing shared confidence-building measures to manage the risks of military AI competition....
By Paul Scharre
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How to counter China’s scary use of AI tech
In the face of these AI threats, democratic governments and societies need to work to establish global norms for lawful, appropriate and ethical uses of technologies like faci...
By Paul Scharre
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Decoupling Wastes U.S. Leverage on China
The ability to deny China access to advanced chips is a powerful advantage whose value is growing exponentially...
By Paul Scharre
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How to Stop Putin Without Starting WWIII
The United States and other NATO countries should aid Ukraine through weapons, intelligence, and diplomatic support, but should stay clear of direct involvement in the war....
By Paul Scharre
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US waited too long to withdraw from Afghanistan
There was no good way for the United States to exit the failed war in Afghanistan....
By Paul Scharre
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Debunking the AI Arms Race Theory
In 2015, a group of prominent AI and robotics researchers signed an open letter warning of the dangers of autonomous weapons. “The key question for humanity today,” they wrote...
By Paul Scharre
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Esper's Convenient Lie
Esper’s claim that the two decades of countering violent extremism left the U.S. under-prepared for a near-peer fight doesn’t hold water....
By Paul Scharre