Consequences of a Collapse of the Iran Nuclear Deal

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Please join us for two panel discussions on the implications of the potential collapse of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The discussion will focus on what happens if President Trump begins unraveling the nuclear agreement in mid-October by not certifying Iranian compliance to Congress and will also examine other potential collapse scenarios.

How Would a Collapse of the Nuclear Deal Occur?

Katherine Bauer, Fellow, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Richard Fontaine, President, CNAS

Peter Harrell, Adjunct Senior Fellow, CNAS

Richard Nephew, Senior Research Scholar, Center on Global Energy
Policy at Columbia University

Elizabeth Rosenberg, Senior Fellow and Director, Energy, Economics,
and Security Program, CNAS

Global Implications of Walking Away

Ilan Goldenberg, Senior Fellow and Director, Middle East Security Program, CNAS

Dr. Colin Kahl, Associate Professor of Security Studies Program, Georgetown University; Strategic Consultant at the Penn-Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement

Dr. Mara Karlin, Associate Professor of Strategic Studies, Johns Hopkins University

Caroline Vicini, Deputy Head of Delegation, Delegation of the European Union to the U.S.

The first panel, "How Would a Collapse of the Nuclear Deal Occur," will be moderated by Elizabeth Rosenberg and will address the state of the sanctions regime, the mechanics of a decision not to certify Iran's compliance with the JCPOA, and the impact for the sanctions architecture and U.S. and foreign companies. The second panel, "Global Implications of Walking Away," will be moderated by Ilan Goldenberg and will address the future of the JCPOA in light of the President's upcoming decision whether, or not, to certify Iran's compliance, regional effects if the agreement were to collapse, and broader global implications for the non-proliferation regime and U.S. alliances.