Pelosi’s Last Cold War & The Griner Prisoner Dilemma

After weeks of speculation and fears that she might launch World War III, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi finally touched down Tuesday night in Taipei, for an official visit to Taiwan. Contrary to proposed scenarios, the Chinese military did not shoot down her plane, though they did proceed with live-fire military exercises in the Taiwan Strait over the weekend, and, this morning, sent military jets right up to the border, a demonstration of just how easily and quickly they could reach the island. A video allegedly taken in Fujian province, right across the water from Taiwan, appeared to show Chinese tanks rolling across the beach. China even banned imports of Taiwanese sweets as punishment for the Speaker’s visit.

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"They didn’t make a big deal of it that time," said Richard Fontaine, the head of the Center for a New American Security. "Members of Congress go to Taiwan all the time, and have done so this year. The stepped-up Chinese response now stems at least in part from Xi’s domestic politics."

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