The year is 2030. Chinese troops seize a Japanese island in the South China Sea. Japan dispatches an amphibious task force to retake the island. Soon, U.S. warships and aircraft arrive, accompanying a Japanese flotilla. Their orders are to support Japan while trying to avoid combat with Chinese forces.
That plan soon falls apart. According to a wargame run by the Washington-based Center for a New American Security (CNAS), it is impossible for the U.S. military to step in without American and Chinese troops firing on each other.
Read the full story and more from Foreign Policy.
Authors
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Chris Dougherty
Former Senior Fellow, Defense Program
Chris Dougherty is a former Senior Fellow for the Defense Program at CNAS. His primary areas of research included defense strategy, operational concepts, and force planning. H...
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Susanna V. Blume
Former Senior Fellow and Director, Defense Program
Susanna Blume is a former Senior Fellow and Director of the Defense Program at the Center for a New American Security. Her research areas included the Defense program and budg...
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Becca Wasser
Senior Fellow and Deputy Director, Defense Program
Becca Wasser is a senior fellow and deputy director of the Defense Program and lead of The Gaming Lab at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Her research areas incl...
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Dr. ED McGrady
Adjunct Senior Fellow, Defense Program, Principal, MonksHood Media LLC
Dr. McGrady writes, speaks, and teaches on the design of professional games. He also runs a business devoted to using games and game techniques to bring innovative experiences...
