Press
Showing 1-20 of 60 Items
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Ukrainian Troops Trained by the West Stumble in Battle
“The counteroffensive itself hasn’t failed; it will drag on for several months into the fall,” said Michael Kofman, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International...
By Michael Kofman
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How the Russian Revolt Could Transform the War in Ukraine
“I don’t think the Russian front line is in danger of immediate collapse,” Franz-Stefan Gady, a military analyst with the Center for a New American Security, told The Messenge...
By Franz-Stefan Gady & Michael Kofman
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Damage to Russian-held hydroelectric plant floods south Ukraine battlefield
Michael Kofman, a Russian military analyst at the Washington-based Center for a New American Security, said he did not expect the dam breach to have a big impact on Ukraine’s ...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia Claims Bakhmut, but Some See a ‘Pyrrhic Victory’
But a swift offensive by Ukrainian forces in the late summer and fall cleared Russia’s military out of Izium and out of a large chunk of Ukraine’s northeast. This removed the ...
By Michael Kofman
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Russian troops fall back to ‘defensive positions’ near Bakhmut
Military analysts have suggested that Ukraine’s localised offensive in Bakhmut appear to indicate it is trying to pin down Russian forces in the city. “Ukraine seems to be att...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia and Ukraine fight to control narrative, territory as war enters new phase
Many of the troops fielded by both sides in the coming months will likely be seeing action for the first time in the war, Michael Kofman, a leading analyst of Russia's militar...
By Michael Kofman
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Donated MiG Jets Will Not Give Ukraine Air Superiority Against Russia
“In a conventional war, more is more,” said Michael Kofman, a military analyst at the Center for a New American Security in Washington. “Wars often come down to attrition, so ...
By Michael Kofman
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U.S. Reaches Deep Into Its Global Ammunition Stockpiles to Help Ukraine
The U.S. is now scrambling to ensure Ukraine has enough in stock for the next phase of the war, since artillery rounds will help Kyiv’s forces take back territory from Russia ...
By Michael Kofman
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Why Won’t Vladimir Putin Cut His Losses in Ukraine?
Even in the face of heavy, increasing losses, Russian President Vladimir Putin remains resolved to continue fighting but is “grasping for meaning in a meaningless invasion”, w...
By Michael Kofman
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Ukraine Short of Skilled Troops and Munitions as Losses, Pessimism Grow
The stakes for Ukraine in the coming months are particularly high, as Western countries aiding Kyiv look to see whether Ukrainian forces can once again seize the initiative an...
By Michael Kofman
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Season of Offensives: What to Expect from the Spring Campaign in Ukraine
In conversations with the Kyiv Independent a few days before publication, renowned U.S. military experts Michael Kofman and Rob Lee shared their thoughts on the coming campaig...
By Michael Kofman
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When Will the War in Ukraine End? Experts Offer Their Predictions.
Asked about the likely duration of the Ukraine war, analysts in the United States and Europe made similar predictions, with timelines running from months to years to “indefini...
By Michael Kofman
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Can Putin Win?
“A repeat assault on Kyiv makes little sense,” Michael Kofman, an American expert on the Russian Armed Forces and a fellow of the Center for a New American Security, a Washing...
By Michael Kofman
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After Kherson, Ukraine’s Military Ponders New Push South and East
One of the Ukrainian military’s long-term goals appears to be an offensive that cuts south to occupied Melitopol, said Michael Kofman, a Russian military analyst at the Center...
By Michael Kofman
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Power Outages Darken Southern City as Ukraine Sees No Sign of Russian Pullback
Michael Kofman, an adjunct senior fellow for the transatlantic security program at the Center for a New American Security, said on the War on the Rocks podcast last week that ...
By Michael Kofman
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Retreat or a Trap? Russia Signals a Surprise Withdrawal from a Key City, but Ukrainians Are Wary
Yurii Sobolevskyi, the deputy head of Ukraine’s Kherson regional council, remained cautious about the Russian forces’ intentions. “Within Kherson city limits, the number of Ru...
By Michael Kofman
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As Russia Retreats, Abandoned Gear Joins Ranks of Ukraine Army
On Monday, the Ukrainian defence ministry posted on its Twitter account a video of a Ukrainian vehicle towing what it said was the "latest model" of Russian T-90A tank out of ...
By Michael Kofman
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Putin’s Troop Call-Up Will Prolong but Not Win War: Experts
Michael Kofman, a defense specialist at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington think tank, cautioned against dismissing the effort. It will help Moscow fortify t...
By Michael Kofman
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The Critical Moment Behind Ukraine’s Rapid Advance
While Ukraine may have an opportunity to recapture more territory in the east, U.S. and Ukrainian officials say the south is the most important theater of the war. “Kherson an...
By Michael Kofman
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Russia Might be Buying North Korean Arms. But Are They Reliable?
Some North Korean artillery appears to be unreliable and ineffective, though. As an example, many defense experts cite North Korea’s 2010 shelling of South Korea’s Yeonpyeong ...
By Michael Kofman