May 30, 2023

China Is Flirting With AI Catastrophe

Few early observers of the Cold War could have imagined that the worst nuclear catastrophe of the era would occur at an obscure power facility in Ukraine. The 1986 Chernobyl disaster was the result of a flawed nuclear reactor design and a series of mistakes made by the plant operators. The fact that the world’s superpowers were spiraling into an arms race of potentially world-ending magnitude tended to eclipse the less obvious dangers of what was, at the time, an experimental new technology. And yet despite hair-raising episodes such as the Cuban missile crisis of 1962, it was a failure of simple safety measures, exacerbated by authoritarian crisis bungling, that resulted in the uncontrolled release of 400 times the radiation emitted by the U.S. nuclear bomb dropped on Hiroshima in 1945. Estimates of the devastation from Chernobyl range from hundreds to tens of thousands of premature deaths from radiation—not to mention an “exclusion zone” that is twice the size of London and remains largely abandoned to this day.

Today’s AI sprint would not be the first time Beijing’s desire to hasten progress invited disaster.

As the world settles into a new era of rivalry­—this time between China and the United States—competition over another revolutionary technology, artificial intelligence, has sparked a flurry of military and ethical concerns parallel to those initiated by the nuclear race. Those concerns are well worth the attention they are receiving, and more: a world of autonomous weapons and machine-speed war could have devastating consequences for humanity. Beijing’s use of AI tools to help fuel its crimes against humanity against the Uyghur people in Xinjiang already amounts to a catastrophe.

Read the full article from Foreign Affairs.

  • Podcast
    • October 17, 2024
    U.S. Chip Controls and the Future of AI Compute

    That escalated quickly! Emily and Geoff discuss why the U.S. aim to deny China access to the computing power necessary for frontier AI capabilities has led to an ever expandin...

    By Emily Kilcrease, Geoffrey Gertz & Pablo Chavez

  • Podcast
    • October 11, 2024
    Asymmetry and AI: The Battle for Power

    Paul Scharre, Vice President and Director of Studies at CNAS, joins Zero Pressure to discuss the world of asymmetric warfare, a term used to describe imbalances in conflict. F...

    By Paul Scharre

  • Commentary
    • Just Security
    • September 19, 2024
    Competition, Not Control, is Key to Winning the Global AI Race

    The United States, with much of the world’s AI-enabling infrastructure, has positioned itself as the global leader in AI innovation. That might not be the case for much longer...

    By Keegan McBride & Matthew Mittelsteadt

  • Commentary
    • Time
    • September 16, 2024
    Regulating AI Is Easier Than You Think

    Countries can regulate AI from the ground up by controlling access to highly specialized chips...

    By Paul Scharre

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia