January 22, 2024

Rumors of China’s Decline Are Premature and Dangerous

Speaking in Davos, Switzerland, last week, Chinese Premier Li Qiang pitched his country as a solid investment destination. The Chinese economy, Li said, has “huge potential,” and choosing it “is not a risk, but an opportunity.”

His audience listened skeptically. After decades of unstoppable Chinese economic, demographic and military growth, the past two years have seen more trouble than triumphs. That has led some analysts to worry not about the rise of Chinese power but instead the irrevocable decline of China’s economy.

China continues to rise and seems bent on regional domination and international revisionism.

These fears are utterly premature. Worse, if they represent the assumptions on which U.S. policy is based, America will fail to rise to China’s challenge. The chief near-term risk is not that Beijing’s ascent will fizzle, but rather that Washington will fail to muster the strength necessary for an adequate response.

Read the full article from The Washington Post.

  • Podcast
    • February 4, 2025
    How Long Will Deterrence Hold?

    Mike hosts Michèle Flournoy, former Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), where she currently serves as Chair of the Board o...

    By Michèle Flournoy

  • Video
    • January 22, 2025
    Trump’s Second Term: How Will the New Administration Reorder U.S. Foreign Policy?

    The return of President Donald Trump to the White House represents a significant moment for both US foreign policy and geopolitics. Following Trump’s comprehensive election wi...

    By Lisa Curtis

  • Commentary
    • January 22, 2025
    Sharper: Trump's First 100 Days

    Donald Trump takes office in a complex and volatile global environment. Rising tensions with China, the continued war in Ukraine, and instability in the Middle East all pose s...

    By Charles Horn

  • Commentary
    • Foreign Affairs
    • January 20, 2025
    The Trump-Biden-Trump Foreign Policy

    The stability of U.S. interests and values, the role of Congress, and the realities of today’s world will demand a significant measure of constancy....

    By Richard Fontaine

View All Reports View All Articles & Multimedia