Sharper: North Korea

For decades, North Korea's authoritarian dictatorship has threatened Northeast Asia's regional stability, challenged U.S. interests, and subjected its own citizens to an unparalleled generations-long human rights crisis. Pyongyang's illicit pursuit of a nuclear weapons arsenal is just one example of the regime's efforts to destabilize the region and threaten the security of the United States, its allies, and partners. CNAS experts are sharpening the conversation about how to manage the challenges to U.S. interests the North Korean regime poses. Continue reading this edition of Sharper to explore their ideas and recommendations.

Reports

Exposing the Financial Footprints of North Korea’s Hackers

“North Korea conducts intricate and sweeping cyberattacks against the United States and its allies to acquire funds to support its illicit nuclear proliferation efforts,” Jason Bartlett warns in a CNAS policy brief. “North Korea’s malicious cyber activities are a direct threat not only to U.S. national interests, but also to global security and the integrity of the entire international financial system.”

Renew, Elevate, Modernize: A Blueprint for a 21st-Century U.S.-ROK Alliance Strategy

In a CNAS report featuring a foreword by Ambassador Mark Lippert (Ret.), authors Kristine Lee, Joshua Fitt, and Coby Goldberg explore how the Biden administration can reinvigorate the crucial alliance between the United States and South Korea. As Seoul adopts globally oriented policies, buoyed by its position at the leading edge of several technology areas and its successful COVID-19 pandemic response, the United States should parlay these efforts into a more concrete role for South Korea as a partner on the world stage.

Risk Realism

For a generation, policymakers judged that a nuclear North Korea was a threat the United States could not accept. To decide otherwise, it was thought, would imperil U.S. allies, increase the proliferation of nuclear weapons, damage the sanctity of the nuclear taboo, and eventually threaten U.S. territory. In a CNAS report, Van Jackson argues that although a non-nuclear North Korea is ideal for the national interest, it is no longer realistic for the near-term future, and continuing to pursue this objective is neither cost- nor risk-free.

Commentary

North Korea Needs to Extort Democracies to Survive

As Pyongyang revisits an old playbook, Washington should also return to the fundamentals that undergird U.S. policy in Northeast Asia—that is, alliance management," Kristine Lee writes in Foreign Policy. "As North Korea probes for new pressure points in the U.S.-South Korea alliance, it has never been more imperative that Washington carefully steward its ties with Seoul."

Busting North Korea’s Sanctions Evasion

"North Korea is the most sophisticated, creative, and dangerous actor when it comes to stealthy and skillful methods of financing illicit nuclear and missile proliferation," Elizabeth Rosenberg and Neil Bhatiya warn in a CNAS commentary. "While North Korea’s Supreme Leader has outwardly professed a desire for reduced tensions on the Korean peninsula and a new relationship with the United States, he has overseen a vast criminal enterprise unrivaled in its efforts to evade financial controls, primarily financial sanctions, meant to limit North Korea’s access to funds for bomb building."

Do Not Forget Korean-Americans With Family Stuck in North Korea

Expert Joshua Fitt writes in The National Interest, "The 70th anniversary of the North Korean invasion south of the 38th parallel also marks seventy painful years since now elderly siblings, spouses, and parents last saw each other. The current status quo’s inertia suggests that North and South Korea can remain divided far beyond anniversaries and longer than the average life expectancies on the peninsula, but the aging members of divided families cannot."

Why Is North Korea So Good at Cybercrime?

"Despite U.S. and U.N. sanctions designed to stop the illicit financing of nuclear weapons, North Korea continues to baffle the world with its unprecedented success in sanctions evasions and cybercrime. As countries scramble to find consensus on cybersecurity protocols, North Korea has moved quickly to expand its cyber capabilities both at home and abroad," Jason Bartlett writes in The Diplomat.

Breakthrough or Crisis? How Will Coronavirus Impact Tensions with North Korea?

"The virus has worsened existing geopolitical rifts among Northeast Asian countries, which will also overshadow or interrupt attention to the North Korean nuclear issue," Duyeon Kim observes in The National Interest. "The virus is also exacerbating domestic political battles in South Korea, the U.S., and Japan that will further consume leaders’ attention. These strains will make policy coordination and consultation even more difficult among key countries, let alone face-to-face meetings because of viral infection and transmission concerns.

Confronting Reality: The Bitter Medicine That North Korea Policy Needs Now

"If eliminating North Korea’s nuclear and missile arsenal is the ultimate benchmark for success, then the United States lost as early as 2006, when North Korea first detonated a nuclear device," Van Jackson argues in War on the Rocks. "What I prescribe takes a clear-eyed view of what has the best chance of working. Only through a more realistic North Korea policy can the United States do what matters most — manage the risks of nuclear and conventional war."

In the News

Featuring commentary and analysis by Duyeon Kim, Kristine Lee, and Van Jackson