September 06, 2023
The Russians Are Getting Better
Ukraine’s summer counteroffensive has moved more slowly than many of the country’s allies and supporters had hoped. The Ukrainian military has proved remarkably adept at rapidly incorporating new capabilities and technologies into its operations, fighting bravely and for the most part effectively against an enemy with superior numbers, little regard for its own losses, and no regard for the laws of war. Even so, progress has been gradual, and every piece of liberated territory has come at an immense cost. Only after three months of grueling combat has Ukraine started to make more significant progress, penetrating some of Russia’s entrenched defensive lines in the country’s southeast and reclaiming territory in the provinces of Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk.
The West will need to recalibrate its expectations to match reality, which is that this is a war of attrition.
Some analysts have attributed the counteroffensive’s slow pace to the challenges of successfully executing joint military maneuvers or coordinating artillery, infantry, and airpower. Others have questioned whether the training the United States and NATO have provided—focused on conducting fast offensive operations rather than wearing the Russian military down through attrition—was well suited to the type of enemy and war the Ukrainians are fighting. Still others have argued that Kyiv’s Western allies have been too slow to provide weapons and equipment, which delayed the Ukrainian counteroffensive and allowed Russia to fortify its positions and mine large swaths of contested territory. Finally, the Ukrainian military is not a NATO-style force, and the armed forces’ legacy and doctrine remains, in part, beholden to the Soviet military when it comes to the way it organizes, mobilizes, and sustains itself. Although this is not necessarily a weakness, it does require that Ukraine’s Western allies reconsider what types of weapons, equipment, and training would enable Ukraine to fight the way it fights best.
Read the full article and more from Foreign Affairs.
More from CNAS
-
How to Revamp Chinese Students’ American Education
The PRC today operates the largest and most sophisticated propaganda apparatus in human history....
By Bill Drexel & Grace Gao
-
AI’s impact on elections is being overblown
Far from being dominated by AI-enabled catastrophes, this election “super year” at that point was pretty much like every other election year....
By Keegan McBride, Felix M. Simon & Sacha Altay
-
Regulating Artificial Intelligence Must Not Undermine NIST’s Integrity
A strong NIST will continue to help build standards that are adopted globally and lay the foundation for further American AI innovation and dissemination....
By Keegan McBride
-
AI and the Evolution of Biological National Security Risks
Executive Summary Not long after COVID-19 gave the world a glimpse of the catastrophic potential of biological events, experts began warning that rapid advancements in artific...
By Bill Drexel & Caleb Withers