Reports
Showing 1-20 of 105 Publications
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AI and the Evolution of Biological National Security Risks
New AI capabilities may reshape the risk landscape for biothreats in several ways. AI is enabling new capabilities that might, in theory, allow advanced actors to optimize bio...
By Bill Drexel & Caleb Withers
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Catalyzing Crisis
The arrival of ChatGPT in November 2022 initiated both great excitement and fear around the world about the potential and risks of artificial intelligence (AI). In response, s...
By Bill Drexel & Caleb Withers
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The Quest for Qubits
The United Nations General Assembly recently declared 2025 the International Year of Quantum Science and Technology. Quantum information science, a field once exclusive to aca...
By Sam Howell
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Biotech Matters: Problems with Life Science Databases in the United States
While humans will retain their ultimate mysteries, many aspects of their traits, diseases, and environment are becoming increasingly tractable. Much of this advance has come f...
By Carol Kuntz
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Biotech Matters: Public-Private Coordination of Biotechnology
An appreciation of biotechnology’s great opportunities is, for many commentators, intimately joined with regret about a disconnect between the U.S. government and the private ...
By Richard Danzig
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Biotech Matters: Great Data Competition and Interoperability with Allies and Partners
Understanding and strengthening America’s biotechnology leadership requires exploring the limits of existing data relevant to the U.S. bioeconomy so that policymakers and the ...
By Michelle Holko
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Autonomy and International Stability
In a time of growing international tension, with interstate warfare ongoing in Europe and openly threatened over Taiwan, military forces worldwide are looking increasingly to ...
By Tom Shugart
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Biotech Matters: Innovation in Agricultural Biotechnology
In 1986, the United States established a “Coordinated Framework for the Regulation of Biotechnology.” In the decades since, this policy helped to enable the rapid development ...
By Dr. L. Val Giddings
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Future-Proofing Frontier AI Regulation
Executive Summary Policymakers should prepare for a world of significantly more powerful AI systems over the next decade. These developments could occur without fundamental b...
By Paul Scharre
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Biotech Matters: Automated Scientists Will Power Tomorrow’s Bioeconomy
Twenty years ago, it was barely plausible that soon every person on Earth would have a supercomputer in their pocket with ready access to the world’s information. Even though ...
By Dr. David A. Markowitz
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Biotech Matters
Operation Warp Speed showed the power of the U.S. government to direct national biotech capabilities around a shared goal—in this case, a novel vaccine. But there are many oth...
By Hannah Kelley
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“DIU 3.0”
Rapid technological change touches virtually every aspect of life today. This includes defense and national security, and for good reason: To maintain the world’s strongest mi...
By Douglas A. Beck
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Secure, Governable Chips
Broadly capable AI systems, built and deployed using specialized chips, are becoming an engine of economic growth and scientific progress. At the same time, these systems also...
By Onni Aarne, Tim Fist & Caleb Withers
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Preventing AI Chip Smuggling to China
China cannot legally import the most advanced artificial intelligence (AI) chips or the tooling to produce them. The large and growing computational requirements of the most p...
By Tim Fist & Erich Grunewald
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Technology Competition: A Battle for Brains
Emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence (AI), quantum information science and technology (QIST), and biotechnology—will transform people’s lives and work world...
By Sam Howell
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Data Privacy
Protecting consumer data privacy is at the center of many of Washington’s technology-related debates. Apps such as TikTok, for example, raise fears about how foreign adversari...
By Alexandra Seymour
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Dual-Use Technology and U.S. Export Controls
Technology is a key enabler of political, military, and economic power. As technical competence grows more diffused, middle powers such as India and Brazil are emerging as tec...
By Hannah Kelley
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Digital Decentralization and Its Effects on Democracy
According to blockchain technologists, web decentralization would fundamentally alter business, societies, and the balance of digital power by reorganizing the internet, using...
By Sam Howell
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Artificial Intelligence and Arms Control
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) pose immense opportunity for militaries around the world. With this rising potential for AI-enabled military systems, some activists a...
By Paul Scharre & Megan Lamberth
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Rewire: Semiconductors and U.S. Industrial Policy
As the United States considers industrial policy for the first time in decades, it should learn lessons from prior government efforts to shape the semiconductor industry, in t...
By Chris Miller